Monday, October 22, 2007

Week 7 Re-Cap: 3-2

When I lived down on settlers landing road, horhey, e-bone, and jake-o came over to the house one evening to play some pool, drink beer and throw some darts. At one point during the evening E-bone got excited about something and yelled out, in a drunken stupor, “MAN OH MAN!!!” As I sit here in the Pensacola airport looking at the results of this weeks fantasy games, that was the exact reaction I had.

In a week full of byes, I have officially dubbed this week “The Week of the Blowouts.” I can’t believe some of the scores from the games this week.

I really expected Team Smith to be a little more competitive this week than what they were. In fact, I predicted them to possibly win but was a little concerned because the BadAss Bills have the Patriots TQB and Wes Welker. Who would have thought that Brady would have been only the second QB in the NFL history to throw five TDs in back-to-back weeks? But that’s not the jest of it. Seattle’s defense came alive and between Brady and Seattle’s D, they scored only 10.1 points LESS than the entire Team Smith team! With those two scoring 99.2 points, the rest of the Bills scored an average of 10 points as the Bills break ALL league records by scoring 199 points!

And what about the Revolution? Behind LJ coming alive and the resurgent Giants defense, they ride those coat tails to the tune of a team record 171.9 points. Granted, the Gnus still have the Colts TQB and Reggies Wayne left to play, but no way to those two score 100 points to make this game close. And I have to give a shout out to my man DeMeco Ryans from Houston. Last season’s defensive Rookie of the Year had a career day yesterday returning a fumble for a TD. Not bad for a former Crimson Tider, huh? Roll Tide Roll, DeMeco!

As predicted, the Syrens played four people who were on a bye week. BUT……they still scored almost 93 points! The Bailbonds had nine out of 12 players score double digits on their way to a solid, all around 192.9 points. Four of those nine scored in the 20’s. when you have that much depth and diversification, how can one lose?

The Hogs beat the Niners in sleeper as the Niners didn’t break 50 points because they played so many people that were on a bye week. This victory, however, should put the Hogs more solidly in first.

GAME OF THE WEEK: I thought this would be closer than what it was. I even predicted the Elvi to win simply because I felt that the Miami defenders she was starting would have ample opportunity to make big plays against New England. Well, the coach didn’t start one of the Miami players and the one she DID start didn’t make too many plays, scoring only 8.4 points. Not bad, however, for a defensive player. But the Peppers had six players score in double digits, with two of the six in the 20’s. while the Elvi have three players playing tonight, the Peppers have the Colts defense. The Elvi have the Colts TE and Joseph Addai, yet they also have the Jaguars HC. I don’t think that is going to be enough to overcome the 60 point lead the Peppers have going into tonight. It might be close, but I think the Peppers will come out on top, solidifying their second place standing behind the Bills.

Thursday, October 18, 2007

Week 7 Predictions

For those of you who are privy to the inner workings of the world of Quad, you know why there hasn’t been any activity on the blog in a couple of weeks. But I am back, and ready to piss people off with my predictions. But first……..


What the hell is up with Division one of our league? Out of five teams in the division, four are tied with 3-3 records. Division two, as I predicted before the season is where the power is. Commissioner Hughes, it seems, tried to set himself up with a possible division title by Not placing his team in the same division with perennial power houses BadAss Bills, Toano BailBonds, and the ever present Red Hot Jimmy Peppers. It seems his plan has backfired. That division has had more teams in first this season than I have had Gin and Tonics! Anyway………………


GAME OF THE WEEK: Peppers vs. Elvi: I guess the league couldn’t help but allow the Peppers a second chance at game of the week because of league sentiments. But what a unique matchup as the PowerHouse meets the NewComer.


Depending on how one looks at this matchup, one could predict this one to go either way. But for the second week in a row, the Peppers have 25% of their starters not playing due to a bye week. Major changes by the peppers include the pick up of Dante Stallworth, who finally had a game along the same lines as the many he had in New Orleans’ during their Cinderella season last year.


The Elvi, on the other hand, added the Lions D/ST and is starting them against the resurgent Bucaneers. At first I thought this was a move waivering on the edge of desperation. But the more I look at it the more I have to agree that it’s the Bucs DEFENSE keeping them in the games, not the offense. They have suffered many injuries to key players, ala Carnell Williams, and their offense is sputtering because they have a running game where the back (name?) has 7 TDs (tied for 2nd in the league), yet they are relying on Jeff Garcia waaaaay too much.


Now, some of you may still be high on Garcia after last year’s performance in Philly after McNabb went down. For some reason, I just can’t bring myself to buy into that and I don’t know why. While I agree Garcia was the answer to last year’s almost run away train in Philly, I look at him like I do Kyle Boller in Baltimore: yes, he is good but I am not sure he is READY to have the team and it’s outcome riding on his shoulders full time.


So where does all of this leave us? I think Coach Ralphy did a good thing by being able to get the Lions D/ST. the Elvi also have favorable matchups at QB and WR. The RB matchup isn’t a good one as Westbrook has to go against the Bears defense. By the way, you can’t blame the Bears defense of their lack of scoring points. You can blame their offense for not scoring more than their opponents like they did last year during their Super Bowl run. Her Indy OP and TE have very unfavorable matchups facing a very stiff, Julius Peppers led Jaguars defense. In fact, I predict Indy loses their first game to Jacksonville next week. What MAY keep the Elvi competitive could very well be her DPs from Miami. Even though the Dolphins are OH-fer the season, their defensive players should have plenty of opportunities to make plays against the high-powered, more-potent-than-Viagra New England offense. If this game between the Elvi and Peppers is close, the Elvi’s DP’s WILL be the difference. However……………


The peppers have three NE players playing against the hapless Dolphins: Moss, Stalworth, and the kicker. Moss is on track to score 21 TD’s this year, and I think Tom Brady’s 5-TD performance from last week was just a warm up for this Sunday’s Massacre in Miami.
Favorable matchups exist at the Pepper’s TE, Totupu at LB, and the HC. But with so many starters on a BYE week, I’m not sure the matchups of the TQB and the WR/RB from Dallas will be enough. Depending on how Dallas responds after their New England beat down last week will, of course, determine the outcome of the performance of Barber and Owens.


PREDICTION: the system has the game as a PUSH. Sheer point average total has the Peppers as a 15 point favorite. But I’m not so sure. I think the Elvi have more favorable matchups, especially with the Peppers relying so heavily on Dallas players. My instincts are telling me to PUSH this game, but I think the Elvi get their 3rd win of the season by a mere 5.7 points.


BadAss Bills vs. Team Smith: the BadAss Bills are absolutely loaded. But their load is spent due to unfavorable matchups at some key positions. While I predict Team Smith to win by 10.3, it could very easily go the other way if the Patriots have a great game. Just between the Patriots TQB and Wes Welker, they could very easily win the game almost by themselves. But…….Team Smith will persevere like they have since they have been in the league.


Niners vs. Hogs: yaaaaaaaaaawn! Oops sorry. I didn’t mean to fall asleep. Are these teams playing? The Niners played three players last week that were on a BYE. It looks like he is on track to play at least one player this week that is on a BYE. But it doesn’t matter. The Niners are loaded with talent that are recognizable by one name: steve, chad, Adrian, and Gonzalez. Between the four of them, they could very easily score close to 100 points. Because of this, I think the WartHogs will be apologizing. But hey, don’t apologize…………….. your team is sorry enough. Oh and to the Coach of the Hogs: don’t forget to bring a pen and paper to the game because the Niners are going to take you school! Niners by 23.4.


Revolution vs. Gnus: there is absolutely no way I am picking the Gnus for two reasons, even though their coach is my main man at work. Reason #1: they kicked a man while he was down by beating the Peppers during a time of the coach’s personal mourning. That loud POP you heard that week was the Gnus pulling the game out of their ass. Reason #2: see reason #1. Seriously, the Revolution are loaded with favorable matchups. Plus………..see reason #1. Revolution by 13.7.


BailBonds vs. Syrens: unless the Syrens change things, they will play 4 people on BYEs. Even if they fix things, it won’t matter. The Bailbonds are too strong and this is the week they go UP the roller coaster hill that is their season. BailBonds by 23.4.

Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Week 4 Re-Cap

First, email response.
What a lot of people don’t know is that when anyone posts a blog, ANYONE can read it. So sometimes, I get email from people I don’t know responding to something I wrote in one of my posts. I don’t know why their questions weren’t responses on the blog site, but it doesn’t matter.

Every once in a while I’ll have an email that I respond to that I just have to share with people. As you know, I have been blasting the performance of last year’s fantasy hero, Maurice Jones-Drew. Needless to say, one of his “fans” sent me an email:

Dear Writer of the Quad Fantasy Football Blog,
Why you be sweatin’ Jones-Drew, yo?
Ray-ray

Obviously, this email came from a well educated person who thinks 50 Cents’ name is made up of two quarters. So I decided, in my response, to be kind:

Ray-ray,
Isn’t that a name some one calls their baby? What self respecting adult male would want to be called Ray-ray? What is it a nickname for? Most people who have nicknames, have nicknames with a purpose. Take mine, for example: Quad the Bod. Very bold, almost Marlboro Man-ish, tells exactly who I am: a person who has the Bod (24 inch pythons for arms) and Quad for my multiple personalities. But Ray-ray? Come on, man.

Anyway, to answer your question: “why you be sweatin’ Jones-Drew, yo?” Well, I don’t be sweatin’ him. I be sweatin’…….well……….sweat!!! What the hell else do people sweat?

Love,
QTB

If you are a historian and look back through the annals of football, there are very few regular season games that spark the interest at the same level as a national championship game in college or even the super bowl in the NFL. But this week’s game of the week, game of the season possibly, touted the two teams who are the only teams to ever win the championship in this league: The Red Hot Jimmy Peppers, 2005 Champions and the Bad Ass Bills, 2006 Champions. This game was marked on the calendar of both teams since the schedules came out because it could very easily be a prelude to whom the League Champion is THIS season.

The smack talking started early with coach E-bone taking the first shot after the first week: “I have week 4 marked on my calendar. I will be munching on some hot jimmy peppers during the day and even though my ass will be burning the next day, I'll have a smile on my face while thinking of the beat down I just gave you!!”

Very bold statements indeed, considering one week of the season had passed. But the coach showed some foresight as he strode into this week’s game as the ONLY undefeated team left in the league. The Peppers were 2-1 after a Dallas Cowboy beat down on the Bears last Monday night did him in.

But first, I have to ask a question: what the hell is going on in not just the NFL, but in our league? Talk about major mistakes by the dozen! And what is with all of the top performers of the NFL either being injured or not even performing? But…….more on that later.

One of the fundamental rules of fantasy football when drafting top running backs is to “handcuff” the star running back by also drafting his backup in a later round. A good example of this is Priest Holmes. Those who drafted him three years ago and handcuffed him by also drafting Larry Johnson have been reaping the rewards ever since. What does this have to do with the Bad Ass Bills vs. the Jimmy Peppers? Well, more on that later as well. But let’s flash back to the draft.

The fantasy pundits were “skeptical” at best on the summer time trade of Randy Moss to the Patriots. They all were basing their dooms day comments on how he was going to ruin the Patriots and how he doesn’t fit into the Patriots’ culture on his past attitude issues. Yes, he had a lack of performance in Oakland, but who the hell was throwing him the ball? Yes, he commented that he didn’t always give 100% when playing at Minnesota, but he didn’t have to in order to become one of the most prolific pass catchers of this era. But now………………….

People were laughing at me and telling me I f’ed up by drafting him, but I knew better. I know about winning. Winning has a way of making historically non-performers perform. The Patriots are the most legitimate chance he has ever had of winning a Championship. He is the number one receiver on a team that is overloaded with talent at every position. He has, arguably, the most prolific passer of this generation in Tom Brady, who is leading the league with a 141.3 passer rating this year. Which brings me back to the handcuffing comment earlier.

The one single thing that E-Bone could have done, that the coach of the Gnus has done with Manning and Wayne, was to handcuff Brady by also drafting Moss. Because he didn’t, he ended up with Wes Melker, who really isn’t a bad choice because of his versatility. But that one move is what doomed the Bills this week as the Peppers once again smacked them in the face with their coaches comments to the tune of an 11.6 point victory. One other mistake he made was to play the Bengals quarterback against the patriots D. While it’s a great thought to hope that last nights game between the Bengals and the Patriots would be another shootout like it was when the Bengals played Cleveland , it’s time to give up that pipe dream, get another pipe and smoke something that won’t make you think such crazy thoughts.

As mentioned earlier, Moss was the deciding factor for the Peppers with 26 points. Yes, the Bills got 31 points from Brady, 10.5 points from Lynch and a monsterous 38.2 points from the Seattle defense, everyone else on the team scored single digits with the points ranging from 8 to -2. He left a legitimate 13 points on the bench with, ironically, Deion Branch at 13.

The Peppers, even though they had four double-digit point scorers, actually got a way with some poor coaching decisions. The coach of the Peppers benched Tomlinson after three weeks of a lack of productivity and he subsequently responds with 21 points. He also benched the Bears defense who scored 22.8 points in defeat with the help of Darian Hester’s kickoff return for a TD. But the key thing to look at here is this: had the coach of the Peppers NOT made those changes, the defeat of the Bills could have been a LOT worse with a potential 36+ point victory. But, with that kind of bench, the Red Hot Jimmy Peppers are by far the most talented and explosive team in the league. They showed their strength by regaining the number one spot with this victory over the Bills.

So a special message to Coach E-bone: if you are going to talk it, then be able to walk it. Enjoy your ass burning from those Jimmy Peppers you ate and remember that feeling. What feeling is that? The feeling of your championship hopes being flushed with the remnants of those Peppers!

Warthogs vs. Syrens: in probably the lowest scoring affair in league history, these teams lit it up with the Syrens winning 98.9-86. Remember my question and comments earlier about mistakes in the league? This game had mistake one: the Hogs played a tight end who was on a bye week. That’s worse than the Syrens not playing a defense a couple of weeks ago.

Niners vs. Gnus: this week’s trivia question: what do the following have in common: 3, 0, 6, 5,-6, 8, 5, 4, and -8? There are the individual point totals of 9 of the 12 starters for the Niners. Remember my comments a couple of weeks ago about being too heavy on players from your favorite team, and how it could come back to haunt you? Well, the 49er heavy Niners had a total of -10 points from his 49er players. And oh, league mistake #2: he played Steven Jackson, who was OUT for week 4. But…….give it to the Gnus. Riding on the heels of Brett Favre having a “Comeback Player of the Year” season and Tampa Bay showing signs of the early Gruden era, they scored a whopping 146 points to win by, are you ready for this, 82 POINTS!

Virginia Revolution vs. Team Smith: I take my comment earlier back about the lowest scoring game. THIS game was the lowest scoring. Other than the Chiefs quarterback, Team Smith didn’t have any one score over 10.5 points. Ronnie Brown in Miami finally proved me right as the Revolution smacked it to Team Smith by 13.2 points. See comments about favorite team laden teams (Team Smith and the Steelers).

The Elvi vs. the BailBonds: I sort of take responsibility for the disaster that was the Elvi this week. The coach had emailed me asking for advice, but I didn’t get the email in time. As a result, she ended up playing Westbrook, who was out this week (league mistake #3). Not that it would have mattered. The BailBonds continue to show why they are potentially one of the best teams in the league, riding the coat tails of both Tony Romo and the Dallas defense. Between those two, they scored 65.1 points while no one else did too much. He did benefit from the carousel known as the Cardinals quarterback situation to the tune of 15 points, yet the 11.5 he got from Merrimam was an anomaly.